CISMID held the first multi-institutional meeting to present the SATREPS 2021-2026 project called “Development of Integrated Expert System for Estimation and Observation of Damage Level of Infrastructure in Lima City”. In this way, the counterpart institutions were invited to work together to develop an integrated expert system, which can estimate the probable level of damage in the different infrastructures such as vital lines, bridges, roads, schools, hospitals, and houses, before an earthquake, and to estimate the level of damage in a post-earthquake scenario. Thus, it seeks to integrate the different information technologies to protect the lives of citizens, providing different levels of information.
The project led by CISMID-FIC-UNI and the Seismic Research Institute of the University of Tokyo-Japan proposes the development of software that integrates existing observation data in real-time, from national technical-scientific institutions. This expert system will use the seismic scenarios previously developed in the SATREPS 2010-2015 Project and the existing Early Warning System (developed by IGP, DIHIDRONAV, INDECI, and MTC), with data from the exposed infrastructures, such as main transport routes identified by the MTC and remotely observed by CONIDA, in addition to the information produced by CISMID-FIC-UNI from its seismic networks.
This project will develop artificial intelligence algorithms for handling existing observation data in real-time. To do this, it will design an appropriate seismic intensity scale for the different types of Peruvian infrastructure, based on the diagnosis of vulnerability and risk. In this way, it will be possible to generate a rapid evaluation of the damage to vital lines, roads, bridges, essential buildings, and houses, in order to propose information on evacuation routes and places of refuge.
This system will help decision-makers, who will use pre-earthquake scenarios to test their capabilities and develop contingency plans; and post-earthquake scenarios, to provide a quick and efficient response.
The Peruvian counterpart will be divided into the following working groups:
- System for Early Analysis. This group will work to analyze earthquake and tsunami intensities throughout the affected area in a pre-event stage through simulated scenarios, and in a post-event stage through a quasi-real-time update of the observed intensities.
- Infrastructures: Structures, vital lines, and roads. It proposes a damage intensity scale for the Peruvian case, based on the type of current infrastructure, vital lines, and roads, due to the high risk resulting from the vulnerability of the city of Lima. The information produced by this team will be an input for decision-makers who manage disaster response so that they can efficiently manage public resources.
- Disaster information technology. Improve the GIS platform with structure inventory. The existing database will be improved, with complementary information and integrated into the new platform to be developed. Through a geomatic platform that will integrate satellite technology.
- Disaster risk management. The information generated by the integrated expert system will be used to help decision-makers carry out efficient reforms that mitigate risk during emergency preparedness and disaster response.